Turkey, U.S. ally and part of a key supply route for the military has withdrawn their ambassador, and is warning of “serious repercussions” if congress votes to recognize the Armenian genocide 1915-1917.
Ordered after a House committee endorsed the genocide measure, the summons of the ambassador for consultations was a further sign of the deteriorating relations between two longtime allies and the potential for new turmoil in an already troubled region.
Egeman Bagis, an aide to Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, told Turkish media that Turkey — a conduit for many of the supplies shipped to American bases in both Iraq and Afghanistan — might have to “cut logistical support to the U.S.”
Analysts also have speculated the resolution could make Turkey more inclined to send troops into northern Iraq to hunt Turkish Kurd rebels, a move opposed by the U.S. because it would disrupt one of the few relatively stable and peaceful Iraqi areas.
“There are steps that we will take,” Turkey’s prime minister told reporters, but without elaboration. It also wasn’t clear if he meant his government would act immediately or wait to see what happens to the resolution in Congress.
He declined to answer questions about whether Turkey might shut down Incirlik air base in southern Turkey, a major cargo hub for U.S. and allied military forces in Iraq and Afghanistan. Turkey’s Mediterranean port of Iskenderun is also used to ferry goods to American troops.
“You don’t talk about such things, you just do them,” Erdogan said.
The route through Turkey accounts for 70% of U.S. air cargo, and about 1/3 of the fuel used by the military. So now our leaders are forced to make a decision- acknowledge a (widely recognized by the rest of the world) mass killing, or make sure we still have a route to keep getting supplies to our troops.
The House Foreign Affairs Committee voted 27-21 to acknowledge the killing of an estimated 1.5 million Armenians perpetrated by the Ottoman Empire.
”Nations of the world have periods in their history that they can’t overlook; we acknowledge and we confront them,” said Rep. Jim Costa, D-Calif. “My Armenian friends believe this was a genocide, and so do I.”
The resolution would call for President George W. Bush to use the word “genocide” when giving his annual Armenian message in April.
Like Presidents Clinton and George H.W. Bush before him, the president considers the phrase ”Armenian genocide” historically questionable and diplomatically harmful. White House and Turkish officials warn U.S.-Turkey relations will suffer if the full House approves the resolution.
”Its passage would do great harm to our relations with a key ally in NATO and in the global war on terror,” Bush told reporters several hours before the committee acted.
So what’s going to be the final word?
”We cannot provide genocide denial as one of the perks of friendship with the United States,” said Rep. Brad Sherman, D-Calif.
”I just don’t understand why we would shoot ourselves in the foot,” said Rep. Dan Burton, R-Ind. “The whole [Mideast] is a tinderbox, and our strongest ally in the area is Turkey.”
I guess time will decide this one.
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